Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Atletico-MG beat Vitória with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 18 (before the first match) against those on May 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciúma | Relegation | 44.1% | 34.6% | −9.5 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 25.8% | 17.1% | −8.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 14.9% | 22.3% | +7.4 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 12.5% | 19.7% | +7.2 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 21.3% | 14.4% | −6.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 50.4% | 57.2% | +6.8 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 44.4% | 51.1% | +6.7 |
| Sport | Relegation | 23.4% | 29.6% | +6.2 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 10.1% | 5.0% | −5.1 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 32.9% | 27.9% | −5.0 |
