Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Corinthians with a 7.2% chance, Atletico-MG beat Santos with a 20.8% chance, and Palmeiras beat Vitória with a 14.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 11 (before the first match) against those on June 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Relegation | 9.6% | 36.0% | +26.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 43.5% | 69.2% | +25.7 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 41.2% | 63.5% | +22.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 18.2% | 39.1% | +20.9 |
| Vitória | Libertadores | 21.1% | 3.2% | −17.9 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 74.2% | 56.5% | −17.7 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 3.8% | 19.7% | +15.8 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 43.9% | 29.4% | −14.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 17.2% | 28.0% | +10.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 8.8% | 19.5% | +10.7 |
