Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Bahia with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 23 (before the first match) against those on May 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 75.2% | 59.7% | −15.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 57.2% | 67.4% | +10.2 |
| Sport | Relegation | 29.6% | 39.2% | +9.6 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 12.8% | 22.2% | +9.4 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 51.1% | 41.8% | −9.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 26.9% | 36.1% | +9.2 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 19.6% | 11.6% | −8.0 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 22.0% | 14.3% | −7.7 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 19.7% | 27.0% | +7.3 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 30.5% | 37.6% | +7.1 |
