Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Coritiba with a 18.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 4 (before the first match) against those on May 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 53.4% | 35.5% | −18.0 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 32.1% | 43.9% | +11.9 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 34.2% | 23.0% | −11.3 |
| Sport | Relegation | 33.3% | 22.3% | −10.9 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 30.4% | 41.2% | +10.8 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 53.8% | 43.5% | −10.3 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 29.4% | 38.3% | +8.8 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 15.0% | 22.4% | +7.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 26.2% | 19.3% | −6.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 25.1% | 18.2% | −6.9 |
