Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Athletico-PR with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 27 (before the first match) against those on May 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Relegation | 47.7% | 30.4% | −17.3 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 38.7% | 26.2% | −12.4 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 42.5% | 53.4% | +10.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 43.1% | 53.8% | +10.7 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 25.4% | 34.2% | +8.8 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 19.6% | 27.2% | +7.6 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 39.4% | 32.1% | −7.3 |
| Athletico-PR | Champion | 15.0% | 8.1% | −6.9 |
| Vitória | Libertadores | 15.6% | 22.4% | +6.8 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 18.4% | 25.1% | +6.7 |
