Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: São Paulo beat Santos with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 20 (before the first match) against those on November 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 29.8% | 62.0% | +32.2 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 29.6% | 8.0% | −21.6 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 38.8% | 59.6% | +20.8 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 60.0% | 80.4% | +20.4 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 16.3% | 1.0% | −15.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 16.4% | 2.2% | −14.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores Second Round | 26.5% | 15.0% | −11.5 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 9.9% | 0.4% | −9.5 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 14.2% | 5.1% | −9.1 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 91.9% | 99.4% | +7.5 |
