Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Atletico-MG with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 23 (before the first match) against those on November 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | Libertadores Second Round | 17.1% | 46.0% | +28.9 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 17.5% | 46.0% | +28.5 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 80.4% | 54.0% | −26.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores Second Round | 15.0% | 0% | −15.0 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 59.6% | 71.8% | +12.2 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 8.0% | 0% | −8.0 |
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 62.0% | 54.0% | −8.0 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 5.1% | 0% | −5.1 |
