Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 3 draws and 6 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Botafogo with a 20.9% chance, Sport beat Palmeiras with a 24.2% chance, Chapecoense beat Fluminense with a 18.3% chance, and Cruzeiro beat Grêmio with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 9 (before the first match) against those on November 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 19.7% | 60.0% | +40.3 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 73.0% | 95.9% | +22.9 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 61.0% | 38.8% | −22.1 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 35.7% | 16.3% | −19.4 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 8.8% | 27.4% | +18.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 32.0% | 16.4% | −15.6 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 24.5% | 9.9% | −14.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 86.9% | 99.6% | +12.7 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 12.0% | 0.4% | −11.6 |
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 19.7% | 29.8% | +10.1 |
