Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Athletico-PR with a 18.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 13 (before the first match) against those on November 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Relegation | 60.9% | 24.1% | −36.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 32.3% | 10.5% | −21.8 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 35.9% | 56.2% | +20.3 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 24.1% | 34.7% | +10.6 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 19.7% | 29.5% | +9.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores Second Round | 22.5% | 14.6% | −7.9 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 72.9% | 80.5% | +7.6 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 91.5% | 97.4% | +6.0 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 92.2% | 97.2% | +5.1 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 9.7% | 5.0% | −4.7 |
