Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Botafogo with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 2 (before the first match) against those on November 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Relegation | 48.6% | 22.7% | −25.9 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 30.4% | 9.2% | −21.2 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 43.9% | 23.3% | −20.6 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 43.8% | 61.0% | +17.2 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 56.2% | 73.0% | +16.8 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 19.7% | 7.3% | −12.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 19.7% | 32.0% | +12.3 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 82.6% | 93.3% | +10.7 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores Second Round | 18.7% | 11.6% | −7.2 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 84.5% | 91.5% | +6.9 |
