Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Goiás with a 24.1% chance, Internacional beat Santos with a 22.1% chance, and Palmeiras beat Bahia with a 20.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 27 (before the first match) against those on November 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 27.3% | 5.8% | −21.5 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 39.4% | 19.7% | −19.7 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 34.2% | 15.8% | −18.4 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 27.6% | 43.9% | +16.3 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 71.3% | 84.5% | +13.2 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 69.7% | 82.6% | +12.9 |
| Sport | Relegation | 11.7% | 2.8% | −9.0 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 57.3% | 48.6% | −8.7 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 87.4% | 94.8% | +7.4 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 12.3% | 19.7% | +7.3 |
