Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Corinthians beat Internacional with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 12 (before the first match) against those on October 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | Libertadores | 60.4% | 36.2% | −24.3 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 44.7% | 21.9% | −22.8 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 21.2% | 33.1% | +11.9 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 42.8% | 51.8% | +9.0 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 82.6% | 91.3% | +8.7 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 23.9% | 31.7% | +7.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 11.7% | 4.3% | −7.3 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 59.9% | 67.2% | +7.3 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 57.2% | 64.0% | +6.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 30.9% | 37.0% | +6.1 |
