Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Chapecoense beat Bahia with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 31 (before the first match) against those on October 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 30.3% | 82.6% | +52.3 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 53.4% | 5.3% | −48.1 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 9.1% | 56.2% | +47.1 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 67.4% | 20.9% | −46.6 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 22.7% | 65.6% | +42.9 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 18.1% | 60.4% | +42.4 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 84.4% | 44.7% | −39.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 60.3% | 98.6% | +38.3 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 24.1% | 55.1% | +31.1 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 12.2% | 42.8% | +30.6 |
