Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Santos with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 19 (before the first match) against those on October 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Relegation | 67.2% | 49.2% | −18.0 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 36.2% | 23.8% | −12.4 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 33.1% | 44.4% | +11.3 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 69.1% | 80.3% | +11.2 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 60.2% | 67.8% | +7.6 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 17.7% | 23.7% | +6.0 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 31.7% | 25.8% | −5.9 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 4.2% | 9.7% | +5.6 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 8.2% | 2.7% | −5.5 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 51.8% | 57.1% | +5.3 |
