Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Palmeiras beat Botafogo with a 19.0% chance, Corinthians beat Cruzeiro with a 20.0% chance, and Flamengo beat Figueirense with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 5 (before the first match) against those on October 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 55.6% | 34.1% | −21.5 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 43.0% | 62.6% | +19.6 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 51.9% | 35.1% | −16.8 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 59.5% | 43.2% | −16.3 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 18.4% | 30.2% | +11.8 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 21.2% | 9.7% | −11.6 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 17.2% | 27.8% | +10.7 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 53.5% | 43.4% | −10.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 53.9% | 63.5% | +9.6 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 64.1% | 73.2% | +9.1 |
