Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Internacional with a 17.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 31 (before the first match) against those on September 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Relegation | 33.9% | 18.3% | −15.6 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 49.2% | 34.2% | −15.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 46.3% | 57.6% | +11.3 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 17.3% | 26.8% | +9.5 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 53.8% | 61.2% | +7.4 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 52.9% | 57.6% | +4.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 10.1% | 14.4% | +4.3 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 63.1% | 59.0% | −4.1 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 9.5% | 13.6% | +4.1 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 22.0% | 18.4% | −3.6 |
