Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Flamengo beat Vitória with a 20.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 24 (before the first match) against those on August 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Relegation | 21.9% | 9.5% | −12.4 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 37.8% | 49.2% | +11.4 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 44.2% | 53.8% | +9.5 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 54.7% | 63.1% | +8.4 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 42.9% | 35.0% | −7.9 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 15.4% | 7.7% | −7.7 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 56.8% | 62.5% | +5.7 |
| Sport | Relegation | 8.1% | 3.2% | −4.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 76.6% | 81.4% | +4.8 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 11.3% | 6.6% | −4.6 |
