Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: São Paulo beat Botafogo with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 7 (before the first match) against those on September 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 57.6% | 70.2% | +12.6 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 61.2% | 49.1% | −12.1 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 59.0% | 48.1% | −10.9 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 34.2% | 24.2% | −9.9 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 48.7% | 39.0% | −9.7 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 48.5% | 57.1% | +8.5 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 57.6% | 65.6% | +8.0 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 64.4% | 71.9% | +7.5 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 8.1% | 14.6% | +6.5 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 32.2% | 38.1% | +5.9 |
