Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Flamengo beat Criciúma with a 22.8% chance and Figueirense beat Vitória with a 17.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 21 (before the first match) against those on August 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Relegation | 51.1% | 35.3% | −15.8 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 36.9% | 21.9% | −15.0 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 29.6% | 44.2% | +14.6 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 67.6% | 54.7% | −12.8 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 44.0% | 56.8% | +12.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 66.9% | 76.6% | +9.7 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 39.4% | 47.8% | +8.5 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 45.9% | 37.8% | −8.1 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 41.3% | 49.0% | +7.7 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 50.0% | 42.9% | −7.1 |
