Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: São Paulo beat Internacional with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 17 (before the first match) against those on August 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 28.2% | 41.3% | +13.0 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 58.7% | 45.9% | −12.8 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 39.4% | 50.0% | +10.6 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 61.2% | 51.1% | −10.1 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 46.3% | 36.7% | −9.6 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 58.0% | 67.6% | +9.5 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 48.7% | 39.4% | −9.4 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 20.4% | 29.6% | +9.2 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 46.0% | 36.9% | −9.1 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 41.6% | 50.6% | +9.0 |
