Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Internacional beat Goiás with a 23.6% chance and Flamengo beat Coritiba with a 19.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 10 (before the first match) against those on August 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Relegation | 62.0% | 46.0% | −16.0 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 43.5% | 58.7% | +15.2 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 37.4% | 48.7% | +11.3 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 31.0% | 22.2% | −8.8 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 20.2% | 28.2% | +8.0 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 50.1% | 58.0% | +7.9 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 47.2% | 39.4% | −7.8 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 18.1% | 10.4% | −7.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 52.1% | 59.7% | +7.6 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 13.9% | 8.0% | −5.9 |
