Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Corinthians beat Santos with a 22.1% chance and Figueirense beat Chapecoense with a 19.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 7 (before the first match) against those on August 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Relegation | 74.4% | 61.3% | −13.2 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 34.7% | 47.2% | +12.5 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 37.7% | 49.4% | +11.6 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 54.5% | 44.9% | −9.6 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 71.6% | 62.0% | −9.6 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 34.9% | 43.5% | +8.6 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 16.8% | 9.9% | −6.9 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 37.6% | 31.0% | −6.6 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 16.7% | 10.5% | −6.1 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 11.4% | 17.0% | +5.6 |
