Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Chapecoense beat São Paulo with a 15.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 18 (before the first match) against those on July 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 54.2% | 36.6% | −17.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 39.1% | 25.2% | −13.9 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 24.7% | 33.2% | +8.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 43.4% | 51.4% | +8.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 25.4% | 32.7% | +7.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 74.1% | 80.7% | +6.6 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 67.8% | 73.8% | +6.0 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 41.1% | 47.1% | +6.0 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 23.0% | 17.1% | −5.9 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 11.6% | 5.9% | −5.7 |
