Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Coritiba with a 13.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 5 (before the first match) against those on August 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 17.6% | 37.6% | +20.0 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 25.7% | 45.3% | +19.7 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 56.5% | 37.7% | −18.8 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 36.0% | 54.5% | +18.6 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 17.1% | 34.9% | +17.8 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 39.1% | 56.4% | +17.3 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 33.0% | 16.7% | −16.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 69.2% | 85.4% | +16.2 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 89.0% | 74.4% | −14.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 28.0% | 15.0% | −13.0 |
