Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Athletico-PR with a 18.9% chance and Coritiba beat Grêmio with a 17.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 20 (before the first match) against those on July 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Relegation | 47.1% | 33.0% | −14.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 32.7% | 18.8% | −13.9 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 33.2% | 20.3% | −12.9 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 15.7% | 26.9% | +11.3 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 27.0% | 16.3% | −10.7 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 42.9% | 53.0% | +10.1 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 73.8% | 63.7% | −10.1 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 24.3% | 34.0% | +9.8 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 36.6% | 45.7% | +9.1 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 17.7% | 25.1% | +7.4 |
