Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Vitória with a 17.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 30 (before the first match) against those on October 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 29.9% | 86.5% | +56.5 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 21.6% | 73.6% | +51.9 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 82.9% | 31.3% | −51.6 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 11.3% | 56.5% | +45.2 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 21.8% | 64.3% | +42.5 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 52.4% | 9.8% | −42.5 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 7.8% | 49.3% | +41.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 59.5% | 99.1% | +39.6 |
| Sport | Relegation | 38.2% | 4.1% | −34.1 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 67.4% | 35.4% | −32.0 |
