Osasuna
Osasuna sits 9th in the table, with 11 points from 9 matches. The main open race is Champions League: 5.2%. Over the last 5 updates, that chance has risen by 4.3 percentage points. Over the season it has ranged between 0.9% and 41.2%. Other objectives with a real chance: Europa League (4.6%), Conference League (6.6%), and Relegation (9.8%). Next match: against Sevilla, away, in round 10. A win takes the chance of Relegation to 5.9%; a loss, to 12.1%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/2026 | 0.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% |
| 10/19/2026 | 0.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% |
| 10/18/2026 | 0.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% |
| 10/17/2026 | <0.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 29.2% |
| 10/16/2026 | <0.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 30.7% |
| 10/12/2026 | <0.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 30.2% |
| 10/11/2026 | <0.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 30.1% |
| 10/10/2026 | 0.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 21.9% |
| 10/09/2026 | 0.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 23.1% |
| 09/20/2026 | 0.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 22.6% |
| 09/19/2026 | 0.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 23.3% |
| 09/18/2026 | 0.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 24.6% |
| 09/17/2026 | 0.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 22.4% |
| 09/16/2026 | 0.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 22.3% |
| 09/15/2026 | 0.6% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 12.1% |
| 09/14/2026 | 0.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 11.1% |
| 09/13/2026 | 0.7% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 11.0% |
| 09/12/2026 | 1.0% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 12.7% |
| 09/11/2026 | 2.8% | 18.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| 09/07/2026 | 2.9% | 19.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| 09/06/2026 | 2.8% | 19.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| 09/05/2026 | 11.0% | 40.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 1.3% |
| 09/04/2026 | 11.0% | 41.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 1.2% |
| 09/03/2026 | 9.6% | 40.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| 08/31/2026 | 9.5% | 39.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 1.2% |
| 08/30/2026 | 5.1% | 24.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| 08/29/2026 | 5.7% | 26.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| 08/28/2026 | 4.8% | 24.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| 08/27/2026 | 4.9% | 25.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| 08/26/2026 | 1.9% | 13.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 12.1% |
| 08/25/2026 | 2.5% | 13.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 13.0% |
| 08/24/2026 | 2.6% | 14.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 13.9% |
| 08/23/2026 | 4.2% | 20.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 10.1% |
| 08/22/2026 | 4.4% | 20.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 11.1% |
| 08/21/2026 | 4.5% | 19.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 11.9% |
| 08/20/2026 | 4.8% | 20.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 12.7% |
| 08/19/2026 | 4.5% | 19.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 11.9% |
| 08/17/2026 | 4.5% | 19.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 13.0% |
| 08/16/2026 | 4.5% | 19.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 13.7% |
| 08/15/2026 | 4.3% | 19.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 14.1% |
What the next match is worth
Osasuna's chance of each objective depending on the result against Sevilla
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relegation | 9.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.1% |
| Champions League | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Europa League | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Conference League | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
