Sevilla
Sevilla sits 6th in the table, with 14 points from 9 matches. The main open race is Champions League: 3.0%. Over the last 5 updates, that chance has fallen by 7.1 percentage points. Over the season it has ranged between 2.4% and 45.4%. Other objectives with a real chance: Europa League (5.0%), Conference League (9.0%), and Relegation (2.6%). Next match: against Osasuna, at home, in round 10. A win takes the chance of Conference League to 12.7%; a loss, to 7.4%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/2026 | <0.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 2.6% |
| 10/19/2026 | <0.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 2.2% |
| 10/18/2026 | <0.1% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| 10/17/2026 | 0.2% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 0.4% |
| 10/16/2026 | 0.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 0.6% |
| 10/12/2026 | 0.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 0.5% |
| 10/11/2026 | 0.3% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 0.4% |
| 10/10/2026 | 0.6% | 19.4% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 0.4% |
| 10/09/2026 | 0.9% | 19.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 0.7% |
| 09/20/2026 | 0.8% | 20.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 0.6% |
| 09/19/2026 | 0.7% | 20.4% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 0.7% |
| 09/18/2026 | 4.0% | 41.3% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 0.1% |
| 09/17/2026 | 4.4% | 42.2% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 0.1% |
| 09/16/2026 | 5.0% | 45.4% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 0.1% |
| 09/15/2026 | 1.9% | 25.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 0.8% |
| 09/14/2026 | 2.0% | 24.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 0.6% |
| 09/13/2026 | 2.5% | 26.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 0.7% |
| 09/12/2026 | 2.8% | 26.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 0.8% |
| 09/11/2026 | 3.0% | 24.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 0.7% |
| 09/07/2026 | 0.8% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| 09/06/2026 | 0.7% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| 09/05/2026 | 1.2% | 11.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| 09/04/2026 | 1.2% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| 09/03/2026 | 1.0% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| 08/31/2026 | 0.8% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| 08/30/2026 | 1.1% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| 08/29/2026 | 1.2% | 13.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| 08/28/2026 | 4.3% | 28.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 1.4% |
| 08/27/2026 | 4.4% | 29.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 1.1% |
| 08/26/2026 | 4.9% | 30.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 1.2% |
| 08/25/2026 | 5.5% | 30.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 1.3% |
| 08/24/2026 | 5.8% | 31.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 1.4% |
| 08/23/2026 | 5.8% | 31.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 1.5% |
| 08/22/2026 | 6.1% | 31.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 1.6% |
| 08/21/2026 | 1.6% | 12.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% |
| 08/20/2026 | 1.7% | 12.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% |
| 08/19/2026 | 1.7% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% |
| 08/17/2026 | 1.8% | 13.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% |
| 08/16/2026 | 1.9% | 12.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% |
| 08/15/2026 | 2.0% | 13.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% |
| 08/14/2026 | 0.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 26.5% |
What the next match is worth
Sevilla's chance of each objective depending on the result against Osasuna
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference League | 9.0% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% |
| Europa League | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Champions League | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Relegation | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
