Trend — Champion
Champion probability over time
Barcelona leads the race for Champion, at 63.0%. 5 teams still in contention have a 1% chance or more. Biggest riser over the last 5 updates: Barcelona (+4.5 pp). Biggest faller: Real Betis (−9.4 pp).
Recent movement
| Team | Now | 5 updates ago | Change (pp) | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 63.0% | 58.4% | +4.5 | 66.5% |
| Atlético Madrid | 19.9% | 18.3% | +1.6 | 21.8% |
| Real Madrid | 12.4% | 9.5% | +3.0 | 39.1% |
| Real Betis | 2.3% | 11.7% | −9.4 | 23.1% |
| Real Sociedad | 2.2% | 1.4% | +0.8 | 3.8% |
| Celta Vigo | 0.1% | 0.1% | +0.1 | 9.6% |
| Athletic Club | <0.1% | 0.3% | −0.3 | 7.8% |
| Rayo Vallecano | <0.1% | 0.1% | −0.1 | 4.9% |
| Sevilla | <0.1% | 0.2% | −0.2 | 6.1% |
| Deportivo Alavés | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 10.4% |
| Osasuna | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 5.6% |
| Deportivo La Coruña | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 2.5% |
| Villarreal | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 5.8% |
| Getafe | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 0.9% |
| Espanyol | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 7.0% |
| Racing Santander | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 0.5% |
| Valencia | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 2.0% |
Champion: the last team in should finish with about 82 points (76 to 89 in 80% of simulations). That spot is held today by Barcelona, 1st, with 27.
Current ranking
1
Barcelona63.0%2
Atlético Madrid19.9%3
Real Madrid12.4%4
Real Betis2.3%5
Real Sociedad2.2%6
Celta Vigo0.1%7
Athletic Club<0.1%8
Rayo Vallecano<0.1%9
Sevilla<0.1%10
Deportivo Alavés<0.1%11
Osasuna<0.1%12
Deportivo La Coruña<0.1%13
Levante<0.1%14
Villarreal<0.1%15
Getafe<0.1%16
Espanyol<0.1%17
Racing Santander<0.1%18
Elche<0.1%19
Valencia<0.1%20
Málaga<0.1%
Barcelona63.0%2Atlético Madrid19.9%3Real Madrid12.4%4Real Betis2.3%5Real Sociedad2.2%6Celta Vigo0.1%7Athletic Club<0.1%8Rayo Vallecano<0.1%9Sevilla<0.1%10Deportivo Alavés<0.1%11Osasuna<0.1%12Deportivo La Coruña<0.1%13Levante<0.1%14Villarreal<0.1%15Getafe<0.1%16Espanyol<0.1%17Racing Santander<0.1%18Elche<0.1%19Valencia<0.1%20Málaga<0.1%Trend
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