Trend — Relegation
Relegation probability over time
Málaga leads the race for Relegation, at 88.8%. 14 teams still in contention have a 1% chance or more. Biggest riser over the last 5 updates: Racing Santander (+23.4 pp). Biggest faller: Osasuna (−34.3 pp).
Recent movement
| Team | Now | 5 updates ago | Change (pp) | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga | 88.8% | 75.8% | +13.0 | 88.8% |
| Racing Santander | 50.6% | 27.2% | +23.4 | 51.9% |
| Espanyol | 33.3% | 16.1% | +17.2 | 34.5% |
| Valencia | 28.0% | 30.6% | −2.6 | 71.7% |
| Deportivo Alavés | 23.3% | 10.4% | +12.9 | 23.3% |
| Elche | 17.0% | 18.5% | −1.5 | 85.7% |
| Getafe | 15.0% | 17.3% | −2.3 | 40.7% |
| Deportivo La Coruña | 13.8% | 16.9% | −3.1 | 40.0% |
| Levante | 10.8% | 36.5% | −25.7 | 58.5% |
| Villarreal | 5.6% | 4.9% | +0.7 | 37.2% |
| Osasuna | 4.0% | 38.2% | −34.3 | 38.5% |
| Athletic Club | 3.5% | 0.9% | +2.6 | 13.3% |
| Rayo Vallecano | 3.0% | 2.3% | +0.7 | 20.3% |
| Sevilla | 2.6% | 0.5% | +2.1 | 26.5% |
| Celta Vigo | 0.6% | 3.9% | −3.3 | 17.9% |
| Real Betis | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 1.5% |
| Barcelona | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 0.9% |
| Atlético Madrid | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 1.1% |
| Real Madrid | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 0.7% |
| Real Sociedad | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 18.7% |
Relegation: the first team out should finish with about 39 points (36 to 42 in 80% of simulations). That spot is held today by Racing Santander, 17th, with 8.
Current ranking
1
Málaga88.8%2
Racing Santander50.6%3
Espanyol33.3%4
Valencia28.0%5
Deportivo Alavés23.3%6
Elche17.0%7
Getafe15.0%8
Deportivo La Coruña13.8%9
Levante10.8%10
Villarreal5.6%11
Osasuna4.0%12
Athletic Club3.5%13
Rayo Vallecano3.0%14
Sevilla2.6%15
Celta Vigo0.6%16
Real Betis<0.1%17
Barcelona<0.1%18
Atlético Madrid<0.1%19
Real Madrid<0.1%20
Real Sociedad<0.1%
Málaga88.8%2Racing Santander50.6%3Espanyol33.3%4Valencia28.0%5Deportivo Alavés23.3%6Elche17.0%7Getafe15.0%8Deportivo La Coruña13.8%9Levante10.8%10Villarreal5.6%11Osasuna4.0%12Athletic Club3.5%13Rayo Vallecano3.0%14Sevilla2.6%15Celta Vigo0.6%16Real Betis<0.1%17Barcelona<0.1%18Atlético Madrid<0.1%19Real Madrid<0.1%20Real Sociedad<0.1%Trend
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