Trend — Conference League
Conference League probability over time
Real Sociedad leads the race for Conference League, at 11.3%. 18 teams still in contention have a 1% chance or more. Biggest riser over the last 5 updates: Celta Vigo (+4.9 pp).
Recent movement
| Team | Now | 5 updates ago | Change (pp) | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 11.3% | 11.7% | −0.4 | 12.5% |
| Real Betis | 10.5% | 6.9% | +3.7 | 11.3% |
| Celta Vigo | 10.1% | 5.2% | +4.9 | 10.1% |
| Sevilla | 9.3% | 11.2% | −1.8 | 11.7% |
| Osasuna | 6.6% | 2.1% | +4.5 | 8.3% |
| Rayo Vallecano | 5.9% | 7.0% | −1.0 | 7.3% |
| Real Madrid | 5.7% | 8.3% | −2.6 | 9.2% |
| Athletic Club | 5.6% | 8.4% | −2.9 | 8.8% |
| Villarreal | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0 | 7.4% |
| Levante | 4.9% | 2.3% | +2.6 | 6.9% |
| Deportivo La Coruña | 4.7% | 4.9% | −0.2 | 8.7% |
| Atlético Madrid | 3.8% | 5.7% | −1.9 | 9.3% |
| Deportivo Alavés | 3.6% | 5.4% | −1.8 | 9.2% |
| Getafe | 3.4% | 3.1% | +0.3 | 7.5% |
| Elche | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0 | 5.3% |
| Espanyol | 2.1% | 3.1% | −1.0 | 7.4% |
| Racing Santander | 1.7% | 3.0% | −1.3 | 7.3% |
| Valencia | 1.3% | 1.5% | −0.2 | 5.4% |
| Barcelona | 0.9% | 1.7% | −0.8 | 7.5% |
| Málaga | 0.4% | 0.6% | −0.3 | 5.6% |
Conference League: the last team in should finish with about 58 points (55 to 61 in 80% of simulations). That spot is held today by Sevilla, 6th, with 14.
Current ranking
1
Real Sociedad11.3%2
Real Betis10.5%3
Celta Vigo10.1%4
Sevilla9.3%5
Osasuna6.6%6
Rayo Vallecano5.9%7
Real Madrid5.7%8
Athletic Club5.6%9
Villarreal5.1%10
Levante4.9%11
Deportivo La Coruña4.7%12
Atlético Madrid3.8%13
Deportivo Alavés3.6%14
Getafe3.4%15
Elche2.9%16
Espanyol2.1%17
Racing Santander1.7%18
Valencia1.3%19
Barcelona0.9%20
Málaga0.4%
Real Sociedad11.3%2Real Betis10.5%3Celta Vigo10.1%4Sevilla9.3%5Osasuna6.6%6Rayo Vallecano5.9%7Real Madrid5.7%8Athletic Club5.6%9Villarreal5.1%10Levante4.9%11Deportivo La Coruña4.7%12Atlético Madrid3.8%13Deportivo Alavés3.6%14Getafe3.4%15Elche2.9%16Espanyol2.1%17Racing Santander1.7%18Valencia1.3%19Barcelona0.9%20Málaga0.4%Trend
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