Málaga
Málaga sits 20th in the table, with 4 points from 9 matches. The main open race is Relegation: 62.9%. Over the last 5 updates, that chance has risen by 9.7 percentage points. Over the season it has ranged between 12.8% and 63.5%. Next match: against Deportivo Alavés, away, in round 10. A win takes the chance of Relegation to 54.0%; a loss, to 69.4%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 62.9% |
| 10/19/2026 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 63.0% |
| 10/18/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 63.5% |
| 10/17/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 51.5% |
| 10/16/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 53.7% |
| 10/12/2026 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 53.2% |
| 10/11/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 53.0% |
| 10/10/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 54.4% |
| 10/09/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 57.6% |
| 09/20/2026 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 61.4% |
| 09/19/2026 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 48.0% |
| 09/18/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 47.6% |
| 09/17/2026 | <0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 46.7% |
| 09/16/2026 | 0.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 29.5% |
| 09/15/2026 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 32.6% |
| 09/14/2026 | 0.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 29.5% |
| 09/13/2026 | 0.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 31.6% |
| 09/12/2026 | 0.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 33.4% |
| 09/11/2026 | 0.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 33.2% |
| 09/07/2026 | 0.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 32.8% |
| 09/06/2026 | 0.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 34.0% |
| 09/05/2026 | 0.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 40.0% |
| 09/04/2026 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 39.1% |
| 09/03/2026 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 37.1% |
| 08/31/2026 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 38.1% |
| 08/30/2026 | 0.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 39.4% |
| 08/29/2026 | 0.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 24.8% |
| 08/28/2026 | 0.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 22.2% |
| 08/27/2026 | 0.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 24.1% |
| 08/26/2026 | 0.7% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 24.3% |
| 08/25/2026 | 0.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 26.4% |
| 08/24/2026 | 0.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 27.1% |
| 08/23/2026 | 1.0% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 27.1% |
| 08/22/2026 | 1.0% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 28.3% |
| 08/21/2026 | 0.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 30.4% |
| 08/20/2026 | 1.0% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 30.8% |
| 08/19/2026 | 1.0% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 30.4% |
| 08/17/2026 | 4.5% | 20.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 13.1% |
| 08/16/2026 | 4.3% | 19.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 12.8% |
| 08/15/2026 | 4.5% | 19.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 14.2% |
What the next match is worth
Málaga's chance of each objective depending on the result against Deportivo Alavés
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relegation | 62.9% | 54.0% | 63.7% | 69.4% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
