
Valencia
Valencia sits 19th in the table, with 6 points from 9 matches. The main open race is Relegation: 28.0%. That chance has barely moved over the last 5 updates. Over the season it has ranged between 7.3% and 71.7%. Next match: against Villarreal, at home, in round 10. A win takes the chance of Relegation to 20.3%; a loss, to 33.7%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 28.0% |
| 10/19/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 25.3% |
| 10/18/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 25.5% |
| 10/17/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 28.4% |
| 10/16/2026 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 30.4% |
| 10/12/2026 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 30.6% |
| 10/11/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 30.3% |
| 10/10/2026 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 35.2% |
| 10/09/2026 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 38.1% |
| 09/20/2026 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 37.0% |
| 09/19/2026 | <0.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 17.6% |
| 09/18/2026 | <0.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 18.7% |
| 09/17/2026 | <0.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 14.8% |
| 09/16/2026 | <0.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 16.6% |
| 09/15/2026 | <0.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 20.3% |
| 09/14/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.1% | 66.3% |
| 09/13/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 68.6% |
| 09/12/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.1% | 71.7% |
| 09/11/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.1% | 68.2% |
| 09/07/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 49.0% |
| 09/06/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 51.0% |
| 09/05/2026 | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 31.8% |
| 09/04/2026 | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 32.3% |
| 09/03/2026 | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 32.9% |
| 08/31/2026 | <0.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 33.5% |
| 08/30/2026 | <0.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 35.3% |
| 08/29/2026 | 0.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 18.6% |
| 08/28/2026 | 0.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 14.8% |
| 08/27/2026 | 0.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 14.6% |
| 08/26/2026 | 0.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 15.8% |
| 08/25/2026 | 0.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 15.5% |
| 08/24/2026 | 1.4% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% |
| 08/23/2026 | 1.4% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% |
| 08/22/2026 | 1.2% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 9.2% |
| 08/21/2026 | 1.6% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% |
| 08/20/2026 | 1.9% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% |
| 08/19/2026 | 1.8% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% |
| 08/17/2026 | 1.8% | 12.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.8% |
| 08/16/2026 | 2.0% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.5% |
| 08/15/2026 | 1.8% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 9.5% |
| 08/14/2026 | 2.0% | 12.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 9.1% |
What the next match is worth
Valencia's chance of each objective depending on the result against Villarreal
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relegation | 28.0% | 20.3% | 29.6% | 33.7% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.