Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Middlesbrough with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 1 (before the first match) against those on October 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Relegation | 38.9% | 25.2% | −13.7 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 36.4% | 22.9% | −13.5 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 44.6% | 57.3% | +12.7 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 30.9% | 41.8% | +10.9 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 65.0% | 75.6% | +10.6 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 35.7% | 25.3% | −10.4 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 18.6% | 28.4% | +9.8 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 34.6% | 25.0% | −9.6 |
| Bradford City | Relegation | 43.2% | 52.6% | +9.4 |
| Leicester City | Champion | 12.3% | 5.3% | −7.0 |
