Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Newcastle with a 17.6% chance and Manchester City beat Southampton with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 16 (before the first match) against those on October 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | Champions League | 32.9% | 20.7% | −12.2 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 25.2% | 14.0% | −11.2 |
| Bradford City | Relegation | 52.6% | 62.3% | +9.7 |
| Ipswich Town | Relegation | 19.4% | 9.8% | −9.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 56.4% | 65.7% | +9.3 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 20.4% | 29.5% | +9.1 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 41.8% | 50.3% | +8.4 |
| Everton | Relegation | 25.6% | 17.4% | −8.2 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 23.3% | 15.3% | −8.0 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 57.3% | 65.3% | +8.0 |
