Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: no home wins, 7 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Charlton Athletic beat Newcastle with a 16.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 17 (before the first match) against those on September 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | Relegation | 24.2% | 36.5% | +12.3 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 20.7% | 11.0% | −9.6 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 26.0% | 18.2% | −7.8 |
| Bradford City | Relegation | 37.8% | 44.9% | +7.1 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 19.5% | 13.7% | −5.7 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 12.8% | 8.6% | −4.1 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 4.8% | 8.6% | +3.9 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 2.5% | 6.0% | +3.6 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 5.6% | 8.9% | +3.3 |
