Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Ipswich Town beat Leeds United with a 6.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 11 (before the first match) against those on September 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Champions League | 26.5% | 41.1% | +14.6 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 35.3% | 22.8% | −12.5 |
| Ipswich Town | Relegation | 49.9% | 37.5% | −12.4 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 29.5% | 19.5% | −10.0 |
| Bradford City | Relegation | 28.0% | 37.8% | +9.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 64.4% | 74.2% | +9.8 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 32.2% | 41.6% | +9.4 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 34.4% | 26.0% | −8.4 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 20.4% | 12.8% | −7.6 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 15.3% | 22.9% | +7.6 |
