Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Middlesbrough with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 6 (before the first match) against those on September 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 55.2% | 64.4% | +9.2 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 25.3% | 32.2% | +6.9 |
| Everton | Relegation | 16.1% | 10.1% | −6.1 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 41.0% | 35.3% | −5.6 |
| Ipswich Town | Relegation | 45.2% | 49.9% | +4.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 28.4% | 33.0% | +4.6 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 17.0% | 12.6% | −4.4 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 10.5% | 14.8% | +4.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 44.0% | 39.7% | −4.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 14.5% | 18.2% | +3.7 |
