Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Manchester City beat Leeds United with a 6.7% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 27 (before the first match) against those on September 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Leeds UnitedChampions League55.8%41.0%−14.8
Manchester CityRelegation43.7%31.0%−12.7
Manchester UnitedChampions League42.5%55.2%+12.7
Leeds UnitedChampion26.5%15.5%−11.0
Manchester UnitedChampion16.0%25.3%+9.3
LiverpoolChampions League19.3%28.4%+9.1
Bradford CityRelegation21.2%30.3%+9.1
NewcastleChampions League14.4%23.2%+8.8
Aston VillaChampions League19.9%12.0%−7.9
Coventry CityRelegation15.0%22.7%+7.7
Home 74.7%
Draw 18.6%
Away 6.7%
Home 53.5%
Draw 25.1%
Away 21.4%
Home 51.9%
Draw 25.7%
Away 22.5%
Home 69.5%
Draw 20.1%
Away 10.4%
Home 40.6%
Draw 29.6%
Away 29.8%
Home 35.7%
Draw 31.3%
Away 32.9%
Home 70.2%
Draw 19.9%
Away 9.9%
Home 39.8%
Draw 29.8%
Away 30.4%
Home 39.2%
Draw 30.1%
Away 30.8%
Home 51.0%
Draw 26.0%
Away 23.0%