Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Ipswich Town beat Sunderland with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 23 (before the first match) against those on August 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town | Relegation | 53.9% | 42.0% | −11.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 36.4% | 46.7% | +10.3 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 28.4% | 38.7% | +10.2 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 46.6% | 55.8% | +9.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 18.0% | 10.7% | −7.4 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 37.0% | 43.7% | +6.7 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 8.0% | 14.4% | +6.4 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 12.6% | 18.9% | +6.3 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 13.4% | 7.3% | −6.1 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 20.8% | 15.0% | −5.8 |
