Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Coventry City beat Leicester City with a 15.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 4 (before the first match) against those on May 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town | Europa League | 48.5% | 90.9% | +42.4 |
| Sunderland | Europa League | 26.2% | 0% | −26.1 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 13.2% | 36.4% | +23.1 |
| Ipswich Town | Champions League | 31.4% | 9.1% | −22.3 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 21.4% | 0% | −21.4 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 45.0% | 63.7% | +18.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 31.7% | 45.5% | +13.8 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 12.6% | 0% | −12.6 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 90.1% | 100% | +9.9 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 90.6% | 100% | +9.4 |
