Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat West Ham with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 18 (before the first match) against those on April 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | Europa League | 27.5% | 44.0% | +16.5 |
| Sunderland | Champions League | 19.1% | 3.6% | −15.6 |
| Sunderland | Europa League | 38.8% | 25.2% | −13.6 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 78.2% | 90.3% | +12.1 |
| Everton | Relegation | 12.4% | 2.0% | −10.4 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 24.8% | 14.4% | −10.4 |
| Ipswich Town | Champions League | 22.5% | 32.1% | +9.6 |
| Ipswich Town | Europa League | 38.3% | 47.7% | +9.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 46.2% | 52.7% | +6.5 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 7.8% | 2.0% | −5.8 |
