Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Leeds United beat Liverpool with a 22.7% chance, Middlesbrough beat Arsenal with a 15.2% chance, Manchester City beat Leicester City with a 15.8% chance, and Tottenham beat Sunderland with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 11 (before the first match) against those on April 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 49.0% | 24.2% | −24.8 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 19.6% | 37.5% | +17.9 |
| Sunderland | Europa League | 20.7% | 6.0% | −14.7 |
| Ipswich Town | Champions League | 23.6% | 37.4% | +13.7 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 17.8% | 4.2% | −13.6 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 73.4% | 84.5% | +11.1 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 34.8% | 43.5% | +8.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 97.5% | 89.6% | −7.9 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 2.4% | 9.8% | +7.4 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 8.7% | 14.4% | +5.7 |
