Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Chelsea with a 21.6% chance and Middlesbrough beat Newcastle with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 10 (before the first match) against those on March 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 26.8% | 10.5% | −16.4 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 30.4% | 17.7% | −12.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 58.2% | 46.2% | −12.0 |
| Ipswich Town | Champions League | 10.7% | 22.5% | +11.8 |
| Sunderland | Champions League | 8.5% | 19.1% | +10.6 |
| Sunderland | Europa League | 28.9% | 38.8% | +9.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 13.2% | 4.5% | −8.7 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 32.8% | 24.8% | −8.0 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 20.2% | 27.5% | +7.3 |
| Ipswich Town | Europa League | 31.6% | 38.3% | +6.8 |
