Round 29

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on February 25 (before the first match) against those on March 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Manchester CityRelegation59.3%71.7%+12.4
LiverpoolChampions League69.3%57.8%−11.5
Leicester CityEuropa League23.1%34.3%+11.1
Derby CountyRelegation13.9%4.6%−9.3
ArsenalChampions League80.2%89.1%+8.9
LiverpoolEuropa League20.5%27.1%+6.5
ArsenalEuropa League15.8%9.4%−6.5
Ipswich TownEuropa League32.2%37.4%+5.2
Leicester CityChampions League7.5%12.7%+5.2
Ipswich TownChampions League12.5%17.6%+5.2
Home 58.9%
Draw 23.4%
Away 17.7%
Home 26.4%
Draw 27.7%
Away 46.0%
Home 39.9%
Draw 29.8%
Away 30.3%
Home 42.8%
Draw 28.8%
Away 28.4%
Home 32.2%
Draw 30.9%
Away 37.0%
Home 38.0%
Draw 30.5%
Away 31.5%
Home 37.9%
Draw 30.5%
Away 31.6%
Home 47.8%
Draw 27.0%
Away 25.2%
Home 69.8%
Draw 20.0%
Away 10.1%
Home 49.4%
Draw 26.5%
Away 24.1%