Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Bradford City beat Chelsea with a 22.0% chance, Coventry City beat Southampton with a 22.5% chance, and Manchester City beat Sunderland with a 18.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 20 (before the first match) against those on January 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champion | 21.0% | 97.9% | +77.0 |
| Ipswich Town | Relegation | 55.3% | <0.1% | −55.3 |
| Bradford City | Relegation | 32.6% | 87.4% | +54.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 48.7% | >99.9% | +51.3 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 27.0% | 71.5% | +44.5 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 40.8% | 2.9% | −37.9 |
| Ipswich Town | Europa League | 0.9% | 28.7% | +27.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 23.7% | 51.1% | +27.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 35.0% | 11.1% | −23.9 |
| Sunderland | Champions League | 23.2% | 46.4% | +23.2 |
