Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Manchester City beat Newcastle with a 17.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 12 (before the first match) against those on May 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town | Europa League | 25.2% | 87.1% | +61.9 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 16.1% | 74.1% | +58.0 |
| Sunderland | Europa League | 42.8% | 0% | −42.7 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 26.4% | 0% | −26.4 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 74.1% | 100% | +25.9 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 23.5% | 0% | −23.5 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 2.9% | 25.9% | +23.0 |
| Sunderland | Champions League | 18.9% | 0% | −18.9 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 18.3% | 0% | −18.3 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 83.0% | 100% | +17.0 |
