Round 23

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on January 2 (before the first match) against those on January 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
MiddlesbroughRelegation35.2%19.4%−15.8
LiverpoolChampions League43.3%56.8%+13.5
SunderlandChampions League37.4%49.8%+12.5
ArsenalChampions League58.4%46.9%−11.5
Manchester CityRelegation53.5%62.2%+8.7
Leicester CityChampions League17.6%8.9%−8.7
ArsenalEuropa League25.2%32.3%+7.0
Ipswich TownEuropa League24.4%31.2%+6.8
Aston VillaEuropa League18.2%11.5%−6.7
Aston VillaChampions League10.6%3.9%−6.7
Home 50.7%
Draw 26.1%
Away 23.3%
Home 41.2%
Draw 29.4%
Away 29.5%
Home 14.3%
Draw 21.9%
Away 63.8%
Home 40.6%
Draw 29.6%
Away 29.8%
Home 31.7%
Draw 30.6%
Away 37.6%
Home 52.4%
Draw 25.5%
Away 22.1%
Home 58.1%
Draw 23.6%
Away 18.2%
Home 49.5%
Draw 26.5%
Away 24.0%
Home 43.1%
Draw 28.7%
Away 28.2%
Home 42.9%
Draw 28.7%
Away 28.3%