Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bradford City beat Leicester City with a 8.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 30 (before the first match) against those on January 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | Champions League | 24.3% | 37.4% | +13.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 31.6% | 43.3% | +11.8 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 27.5% | 17.6% | −9.9 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 40.0% | 31.4% | −8.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 65.4% | 58.4% | −7.0 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 44.6% | 51.5% | +7.0 |
| Everton | Relegation | 20.6% | 27.1% | +6.5 |
| Bradford City | Relegation | 91.8% | 85.9% | −5.9 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 88.4% | 93.4% | +5.0 |
| Ipswich Town | Champions League | 20.3% | 15.6% | −4.8 |
