Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 6 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Leeds United with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 14 (before the first match) against those on January 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | Relegation | 56.5% | 71.6% | +15.1 |
| Everton | Relegation | 25.2% | 11.9% | −13.3 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 8.5% | 15.6% | +7.1 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 16.4% | 22.3% | +5.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 5.2% | 10.5% | +5.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 46.9% | 51.8% | +4.9 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 2.4% | 6.9% | +4.6 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 10.3% | 5.9% | −4.4 |
| Ipswich Town | Champions League | 20.7% | 16.6% | −4.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 56.8% | 53.3% | −3.6 |
